Royal Ascot 2025 is fast approaching, and many people believe that this could be the year that racehorse trainer and former jockey Paddy Twomey finally gets a winner at the UK’s biggest horse racing event.
Let’s dive straight in to find out more.
Can Paddy Twomey win at Royal Ascot 2025?
Many horse racing fans, experts, and sports bettors believe that Paddy Twomey could win at Royal Ascot this year and that the most likely winner will be a horse called ‘Carmers’ in the Queen’s Vase race.
Royal Ascot gets underway on Tuesday, June 17, at 14:30 (GMT) with the Queen Anne Stakes, followed by the Coventry Stakes, the King Charles II Stakes, and the St James’ Palace Stakes.
On day 2 of the event, the first race of the day is the Queen Mary Stakes at 14:30. The Queen’s Vase race on day 2 is at 15:05, followed by the Prince of Wales, the Royal Hunt Cup, and the Windsor Castle Stakes.
The quickest, easiest, and most reliable way to determine if Paddy Twomey’s ‘Carmers’ is likely to win the Queens Vase race is to find out the latest odds currently being offered by the iGaming industry’s most trusted online sportsbooks. Look for sites that are well-known for having highly competitive horse racing odds.
For example, when betting on horse racing in South Africa, the safest site to visit first for the best odds is the official 10Bet Africa online sportsbook. As we edge closer to race day, the odds for this particular race will become available.
Since the start of the Irish Flat horse racing season in March, and right up until May 20, Twomey has had an impressive 12 winners from just 28 runners (Flat runners aged three years old and above). In other words, his recent strike rate is an unparalleled 42.90%.
Which other races are there to look forward to at Royal Ascot?
Besides the Queen’s Vase and the other races mentioned above that you can watch and/or bet on days 1 and 2, there are plenty of other races to look forward to over the five-day event.
The most hotly anticipated race is the Ascot Gold Cup on day 3 at 16:25. The other races on day three are the Norfolk Stakes, the Ribblesdale Stakes, and the Buckingham Palace Stakes. On day 4, June 20, you have the Albany Stakes, the Commonwealth Cup, the Coronation Stakes, and the King Edward VII Stakes, and then on the final day of the meeting, you have the Chesham Stakes, the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, and the Wokingham Stakes.
For jumping fans, the most keenly anticipated is the Queen Alexandra Stakes over 2m 4f, the longest race of the meeting. This brings together stayers who often ply their trade in the winter months around our better known jumps courses, and champion trainer Willie Mullins has an outstanding record in the race in recent years.
Who is favourite to win the Ascot Gold Cup?
As it stands, Illinois is the odds-on favourite to win the 2025 Ascot Gold Cup, followed by second odds-on favourite Candelari, and third odds-on favourite Trawlerman. Talking horse and former champion hurdler Constitution Hill was entered for the race, before connections wisely decided to focus attention on next autumn’s Jumps calendar. Here is a quick look at the latest odds for the top three favourites, which, don’t forget, are subject to change at any time.
We have included all three odds formats (decimal, American/moneyline, and fractional), and the implied probability rate of each of the top three favourites to win. Here’s what it currently looks like:
- 2025 Ascot Gold Cup winner. Horse: Illinois. Odds: 2.25, +125, 5/4. IPR: 44.40%
- 2025 Ascot Gold Cup winner. Horse: Candelari. Odds: 3.75, +275, 11/4. IPR: 26.70%
- 2025 Ascot Gold Cup winner. Horse: Trawlerman. Odds: 5.00, +400, 4/1. IPR: 20.0%
Although it’s not a good idea to place too many outsider/underdog bets, they win often enough to make this enticing. Therefore, if you fancy a punt on an outsider in the Royal Ascot Gold Cup this year, then you might want to consider Divine Comedy, Feigning Madness, or Burdett Road, runner-up to Golden Ace in this year’s Champion Hurdle.
These ones are all currently priced at around 101.00 (decimal odds), which is +10,000 in American/moneyline odds, and 100/1 in fractional odds, meaning they all currently only have a 1.00 chance (implied probability rate) of winning. These are the three least favourites to win.
There’s also Al Nayyir, and Continuous, who are both currently priced at around 67.00 (+6,600 or 66/1) with a 1.50% IPR.
Final thoughts
Paddy Twomey is looking to break his duck and win his first-ever runner at Royal Ascot, which many believe he will do, so it will be interesting to see which horses he enters and which races they will take part in.
If you decide to place a wager on any of the races at the upcoming Royal Ascot event, remember to conduct plenty of research, and don’t forget that betting on the odds on favourites still doesn’t always guarantee that you will see a return on your initial wagers.